The Credit and Surety Insurance Market
 
Trade credit insurance provides cover to the sellers of goods or services in the event the buyer fails to fulfill his obligations. Surety insurance guarantees the fulfillment of a contract even if the contractor fails to perform.

Although these products provide protection against credit risk, they fundamentally differ from a bank loan or a bond by the fact that no money is lent. In case of trade credit, they only cover the payment obligations of a buyer of goods and/or services to the benefit of his supplier. In the case of surety, a cover is provided to a beneficiary on the failure of an obligor to take some kind of contractually agreed action (such as performing a construction work or paying taxes when due, or legal obligations).

 
     
  The Credit & Surety PML Working Group
 
The main credit insurers and reinsurers formally formed the Working Group in Munich in March 2004. It is the successor of a group formed within the Credit Committee of the Pan American Surety Association in July 2002.

Motivation

The initiators felt the need to find a good method to evaluate the probable maximum loss (PML) of credit insurers, and more generally, to improve the assessment of the capital needed to cover the portfolio risk of credit and surety insurance risks. The group quickly realized that the parameter of interest for evaluating the capital at risk was the Loss Given Default (LGD).

Between July 2002 and March 2004, the group has been able to bring together the majority of the credit and surety insurers and reinsurers to come up with common definitions of terms, to design a study which realistically represents the process of trade credit insurance, and, last but not least, to obtain the first encouraging results for the percentage of LGD in the industry.

In 2008 the group published a report on the Loss Given Default for credit insurance, covering the results of a three-year observation period. Currently this study is extended to also cover the years of the credit crisis. Since 2008, the group is also conducting a study on the LGD for surety business; final results are expected for early 2011.

Aim of the Working Group

The C&S PML Working Group aims at completing the research on the LGD for trade credit insurance and at moving to a similar study for the surety business. It is currently sponsored by over 20 companies and professional associations. These sponsors fund the pre-competitive research jointly done by the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology in Zurich (ETH) and the Versicherungsforen Leipzig and provide the data underlying the study.

 
     
  The Goals
 
Credit and surety insurance is a niche market and as such it does not enjoy a general business understanding by outsiders. On the other hand, it does play a very important role in helping companies manage their credit risks. By providing pre-competitive research on the actual industry risks, this understanding gap can be filled.

Research and enhanced dialogue

The main goal of the working group is to foster quantitative research on the industry risks and encourage the dialogue with other stakeholders (e.g. regulators and rating agencies) regarding the best ways to assess those risks and allocate capital to them. By introducing transparency in the terms, methods and results of the study, we want to build a common understanding and a fair pricing of the products offered by credit and surety insurers.

Furthermore, the Working Group also provides a platform for the different professional associations to collaborate on technical matters concerning the quantitative evaluation of the risks of the industry.

 
     
  The Means
 
Lean organization

The Working Group seeks to keep its organization to a minimum, while maintaining the interaction and the efficiency at a maximum. It meets twice a year at the location of one of the members, who acts as host and chairman of the session. In the interim, members are responsible for various objectives and report to the Steering Committee, which, in turn, insures the follow-up of the different projects.

Independent third party for the study

The Seminar for Statistics of the ETH and Versicherungsforen Leipzig are in charge of building the database of loss data, conducting the necessary statistical studies and hosting this website. They will also publish the results of the study and provide advice on the best way to collect the data, whereby full anonymity is guaranteed.
 
     
Copyright 2010 Credit & Surety PML Working Group, Inc. All rights reserved. info-pml@cs-pml.org
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